NFL Coach of the Year odds today
Kalshi and Polymarket both rate John Harbaugh as the likeliest 2026 NFL Coach of the Year, at 26.5% on Kalshi and 27.2% on Polymarket.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a coach's market turned into a percentage. Kalshi titles its market "Coach of the Year Winner?" and Polymarket titles its market "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Coach of the Year Winner", and both settle on the coach named AP NFL Coach of the Year for the 2026-27 season. We read Kalshi and Polymarket's public market data on 15 Nov 2026, 12:53 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Kalshi and Polymarket on 15 Nov 2026, 12:53 AM ET
- Kalshi
- 26.5%
- John Harbaugh leads
- Polymarket
- 27.2%
- John Harbaugh leads
- Settles
- 30 Mar
- 2027, per Kalshi's listing
Here is how Kalshi and Polymarket rate the 10 coaches most likely to win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award, side by side.
Chance of winning
- Kalshi
- Polymarket
- 1John HarbaughKalshi26.5%Polymarket27.2%
- 2Kyle ShanahanKalshi23.5%Polymarketn/a
- 3Ben JohnsonKalshi14.5%Polymarket14.4%
- 4Liam CoenKalshi8.5%Polymarketn/a
- 5Todd MonkenKalshi7.5%Polymarketn/a
- 6Joe BradyKalshi3.5%Polymarket2.5%
- 7Dan CampbellKalshi2.5%Polymarketn/a
- 8Klint KubiakKalshi2.5%Polymarketn/a
- 9Mike McCarthyKalshi2.5%Polymarketn/a
- 10Zac TaylorKalshi2.5%Polymarketn/a
Kalshi lists 32 coaches and Polymarket lists 9 for the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year, and only one of them can settle Yes.
| Coach | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| John Harbaugh | 26.5% | 27.2% |
| Kyle Shanahan | 23.5% | n/a |
| Ben Johnson | 14.5% | 14.4% |
| Liam Coen | 8.5% | n/a |
| Todd Monken | 7.5% | n/a |
| Joe Brady | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Dan Campbell | 2.5% | n/a |
| Klint Kubiak | 2.5% | n/a |
| Mike McCarthy | 2.5% | n/a |
| Zac Taylor | 2.5% | n/a |
| Jesse Minter | 1.5% | 2.6% |
| Robert Saleh | 0.5% | 2.5% |
| Kevin O'Connell | 1.5% | n/a |
| Sean Payton | 1.5% | n/a |
| Shane Steichen | 0.5% | 2% |
| Andy Reid | 0.5% | 1.9% |
| Kellen Moore | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Aaron Glenn | 0.5% | n/a |
| Brian Schottenheimer | 0.5% | n/a |
| Dan Quinn | 0.5% | n/a |
| Dave Canales | 0.5% | n/a |
| DeMeco Ryans | 0.5% | n/a |
| Jeff Hafley | 0.5% | n/a |
| Jim Harbaugh | 0.5% | n/a |
| Matt LaFleur | 0.5% | n/a |
| Mike LaFleur | 0.5% | n/a |
| Mike Macdonald | 0.5% | n/a |
| Mike Vrabel | 0.5% | n/a |
| Nick Sirianni | 0.5% | n/a |
| Sean McVay | 0.5% | n/a |
| Todd Bowles | 0.5% | n/a |
| Kevin Stefanski | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Each venue settles a coach's market Yes only if that coach wins, and the dates below come from the venues' own listings.
- Kalshi. A coach's market settles Yes if that coach wins the AP Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 pro football season, and the market can close as soon as the NFL Coach of the Year winner is announced. Kalshi expects to settle by 30 March 2027.
- Polymarket. A coach's market settles Yes if that coach wins the 2026 AP NFL Coach of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season, and settles No if another coach wins. The market is scheduled to close on 28 February 2027, and if no winner is announced by then Polymarket resolves it to Other, not to a listed coach.
- The chances. A Yes share pays $1 if the coach wins, so a price of 14 cents is a 14% chance. For Kalshi we use the midpoint of the best bid and ask when they are within 10 cents of each other, and the last trade when they are not. For Polymarket we use the price it publishes for Yes.
- The volume. Kalshi counts contracts and Polymarket counts US dollars, so the two totals cannot be compared directly.
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These are the questions people ask about Kalshi and Polymarket odds on the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year.
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award on Kalshi and Polymarket?
Kalshi rates John Harbaugh first, at 26.5%, and Polymarket rates John Harbaugh first, at 27.2%, as read on 15 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
What do the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award odds on this page mean?
Each percentage is the price of a Yes share in one coach's market. A share pays $1 if the coach wins, so a price of 14 cents means the market gives that coach about a 14% chance. It is what traders are paying, not a promise: a coach at 14% still loses about 86 times in 100 if the prices are set well.
How do Kalshi and Polymarket differ for this market?
Both ask which coach wins the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year award, and both pay $1 for a winning share. Kalshi, a US-regulated exchange, counts trading in contracts (7.8M contracts so far), while Polymarket counts US dollars ($9.4K so far), so the totals cannot be compared directly. Kalshi expects to settle by 30 March 2027. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 28 February 2027 and resolves to Other if no winner is announced by then.
Which coach do Kalshi and Polymarket disagree on most?
Robert Saleh: Kalshi gives 0.5% and Polymarket gives 2.5%, a gap of 2 points.
Why do the chances not add up to exactly 100%?
Each coach's price is set by its own trading, so the prices need not add up to exactly 100%. On this read Kalshi's chances add up to 108% and Polymarket's to 54.4%. Kalshi's total runs above 100% partly because a coach quoted between 0 and 1 cent shows as 0.5%. Polymarket lists 9 coaches to Kalshi's 32, and its total counts only the coaches it lists.
When does the market on the 2026 NFL Coach of the Year settle?
Kalshi's market can settle as soon as the NFL Coach of the Year winner is announced, and Kalshi expects to settle by 30 March 2027. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 28 February 2027, and it settles as soon as the winner is announced.
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Yes, but BitPredict covers crypto, not pro football. It is free to play: you call Bitcoin or another coin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.