College football championship odds today
Kalshi and Polymarket both rate the Georgia Bulldogs as the likeliest 2027 college football champion, at 30.5% on Kalshi and 29.5% on Polymarket.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a team's market turned into a percentage. Kalshi titles its market "College Football National Championship Winner" and Polymarket titles its market "NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion", and both settle on the team that wins the College Football Playoff national championship game. We read Kalshi and Polymarket's public market data on 12 Nov 2026, 9:32 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Kalshi and Polymarket on 12 Nov 2026, 9:32 AM ET
- Kalshi
- 30.5%
- Georgia Bulldogs lead
- Polymarket
- 29.5%
- Georgia Bulldogs lead
- Settles
- 25 Jan
- 2027, per Kalshi's listing
Here is how Kalshi and Polymarket rate the 10 teams most likely to win the 2027 college football national championship, side by side.
Chance of winning
- Kalshi
- Polymarket
- 1Georgia BulldogsKalshi30.5%Polymarket29.5%
- 2Notre Dame Fighting IrishKalshi16.5%Polymarket18.5%
- 3Alabama Crimson TideKalshi11.5%Polymarket11.5%
- 4Miami HurricanesKalshi9.5%Polymarket9.8%
- 5Texas LonghornsKalshi8.5%Polymarket7.8%
- 6Indiana HoosiersKalshi7.5%Polymarket6.8%
- 7Utah UtesKalshi3.5%Polymarketn/a
- 8UCLA BruinsKalshi2.5%Polymarketn/a
- 9LSU TigersKalshi2.5%Polymarket2.3%
- 10Oregon DucksKalshi1.5%Polymarket1.8%
Kalshi lists 53 teams and Polymarket lists 16 for the 2027 college football champion, and only one of them can settle Yes.
| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 30.5% | 29.5% |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 16.5% | 18.5% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Miami Hurricanes | 9.5% | 9.8% |
| Texas Longhorns | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Utah Utes | 3.5% | n/a |
| UCLA Bruins | 2.5% | n/a |
| LSU Tigers | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Oregon Ducks | 1.5% | 1.8% |
| Tennessee Volunteers | 1.5% | n/a |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 1.5% | n/a |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.5% | 1.4% |
| Ole Miss Rebels | 1% | 0.9% |
| USC Trojans | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Florida Gators | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.5% | n/a |
| Arizona Wildcats | 0.5% | n/a |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 0.5% | n/a |
| Auburn Tigers | 0.5% | n/a |
| Baylor Bears | 0.5% | n/a |
| BYU Cougars | 0.5% | n/a |
| California Golden Bears | 0.5% | n/a |
| Clemson Tigers | 0.5% | n/a |
| Florida State Seminoles | 0.5% | n/a |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 0.5% | n/a |
| Houston Cougars | 0.5% | n/a |
| Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.5% | n/a |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.5% | n/a |
| James Madison Dukes | 0.5% | n/a |
| Kansas State Wildcats | 0.5% | n/a |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 0.5% | n/a |
| Louisville Cardinals | 0.5% | n/a |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 0.5% | n/a |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.5% | n/a |
| Missouri Tigers | 0.5% | n/a |
| NC State Wolfpack | 0.5% | n/a |
| North Texas Mean Green | 0.5% | n/a |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.5% | n/a |
| Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.5% | n/a |
| Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.5% | n/a |
| SMU Mustangs | 0.5% | n/a |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.5% | n/a |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 0.5% | n/a |
| Tulane Green Wave | 0.5% | n/a |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | 0.5% | n/a |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 0.5% | n/a |
| Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.5% | n/a |
| Washington Huskies | 0.5% | n/a |
| Michigan Wolverines | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 0.5% | <0.1% |
Each venue settles a team's market Yes only if that team wins, and the dates below come from the venues' own listings.
- Kalshi. A team's market settles Yes if that team wins the College Football Playoff national championship game, and the market closes once a champion is declared. Kalshi expects to settle on 25 January 2027.
- Polymarket. A team's market settles Yes if that team wins the 2026-27 College Football Playoff national championship, and settles No as soon as the team can no longer win, for example when it is knocked out of the playoffs. The market is scheduled to close on 8 February 2027, and if no champion is declared by then Polymarket resolves it to Other, not to a listed team.
- The chances. A Yes share pays $1 if the team wins, so a price of 14 cents is a 14% chance. For Kalshi we use the midpoint of the best bid and ask when they are within 10 cents of each other, and the last trade when they are not. For Polymarket we use the price it publishes for Yes.
- The volume. Kalshi counts contracts and Polymarket counts US dollars, so the two totals cannot be compared directly.
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
This page is about football, but BitPredict asks a simpler question than these markets, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Kalshi and Polymarket odds on the 2027 college football champion.
Who is the favorite to win the 2027 college football national championship on Kalshi and Polymarket?
Kalshi rates the Georgia Bulldogs first, at 30.5%, and Polymarket rates the Georgia Bulldogs first, at 29.5%, as read on 12 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
What do the 2027 college football national championship odds on this page mean?
Each percentage is the price of a Yes share in one team's market. A share pays $1 if the team wins, so a price of 14 cents means the market gives that team about a 14% chance. It is what traders are paying, not a promise: a team at 14% still loses about 86 times in 100 if the prices are set well.
How do Kalshi and Polymarket differ for this market?
Both ask which team wins the 2027 college football national championship, and both pay $1 for a winning share. Kalshi, a US-regulated exchange, counts trading in contracts (81M contracts so far), while Polymarket counts US dollars ($1.4M so far), so the totals cannot be compared directly. Kalshi expects to settle on 25 January 2027. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 8 February 2027 and resolves to Other if no champion is declared by then.
Which team do Kalshi and Polymarket disagree on most?
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Kalshi gives 16.5% and Polymarket gives 18.5%, a gap of 2 points.
Why do the chances not add up to exactly 100%?
Each team's price is set by its own trading, so the prices need not add up to exactly 100%. On this read Kalshi's chances add up to 118% and Polymarket's to 93.2%. Kalshi's total runs above 100% partly because a team quoted between 0 and 1 cent shows as 0.5%. Polymarket lists 16 teams to Kalshi's 53, and its total counts only the teams it lists.
When does the market on the 2027 college football champion settle?
Kalshi expects to settle on 25 January 2027, once the champion is declared. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 8 February 2027, which is the latest it can settle.
Can I make a free prediction on BitPredict?
Yes, but BitPredict covers crypto, not football. It is free to play: you call Bitcoin or another coin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.