Kalshi alternatives and apps like Kalshi

BitPredictbitpredict.io

vs

Kalshikalshi.com

Here is the roundup. Two of these are regulated US exchanges you reach through an app, one is a long-running political market, and three ask for no money at all. Every claim in the table is sourced in the sections underneath. For crypto specifically, including the analyst forecast sites, see the best crypto prediction sites. Weighing Polymarket too? Read our Polymarket alternative breakdown. Coming from PredictIt? See the PredictIt alternatives, and for every venue side by side with its sources, the best prediction markets.

Platform	What it is	Money at risk?	What you can predict	Cost to take part
BitPredict	Free crypto up/down prediction game	No	Crypto direction over 24 hours	Free
Kalshi	CFTC-regulated event exchange	Yes	Politics, economics, sport, culture, weather, crypto prices from 15 minutes to year-end	Taker fee per contract, 1.75 cents at 50/50 odds
Polymarket	Prediction market: a global platform plus a separate CFTC-regulated US exchange	Yes	Politics, sport, crypto, geopolitics, culture	Taker fee by category, makers pay nothing
Robinhood	Broker app that routes event contracts to partner exchanges	Yes	Sport, politics, weather, commodities, entertainment	Commission plus the exchange's own fee
PredictIt	Long-running US political market	Yes	US elections, Congress, world politics	Funded account required
Manifold	Play-money markets on any question	No	Anything a user creates a market for	Free, play-money currency
Metaculus	Forecasting community scored on accuracy	No	Long-range questions of public interest	Free

The split that actually matters is the last two columns. Real-money venues (Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, PredictIt) reward capital plus a correct outcome, and they cost something every time you trade. Free products (Manifold, Metaculus, BitPredict) reward skill and reputation, and cost nothing. If your goal is to trade broad event outcomes with dollars on regulated rails, stay in the first group. If your goal is to find out whether you can call crypto and prove it publicly, the second group is where you belong, and BitPredict is the one built for crypto direction.

Checked against the linked sources on 26 October 2026.

• 6 October: Coinbase added 15-minute and hourly crypto price contracts to its app, and Kalshi operates those markets (DigitalToday). The details are on Coinbase prediction markets.
• 20 October: Utah's attorney general sued Kalshi and its market maker Susquehanna in Salt Lake County, saying Kalshi runs illegal gambling (Covers).
• 23 October: the New York State Gaming Commission asked a New York court to force Kalshi to answer its subpoenas on sports contracts, sales to people under 21 and advertising (Covers).
• Every state action since July, with its date and source, is on prediction markets by state.

• You want to prove you can call crypto, free, in public: BitPredict. One open call per coin, scored on accuracy, on a public leaderboard.
• You want to trade events for dollars on regulated US rails: Kalshi. It is the category leader and we do not compete with it.
• You already have a Robinhood account and want event contracts in the same app: Robinhood, understanding that it routes to partner exchanges and adds its own commission on top of theirs.
• You want crypto-native markets and on-chain settlement: Polymarket, checking which of its two platforms you are eligible for first.
• You only care about US politics: PredictIt.
• You want to forecast anything at all, for free: Manifold for breadth, Metaculus for rigour.

Plenty of people do two of these at once: a free scoreboard to find out whether the read is any good, and a funded account for the calls they are most sure about. If your real question is whether any of this counts as betting, read is crypto prediction gambling. With nothing wagered and nothing to lose financially, BitPredict isn't gambling. You can also browse every coin and start calling in seconds.

BitPredictFree · scored on accuracy

PolymarketCrypto-native · USDC

RobinhoodEvent contracts in-app

PredictItUS politics markets

ManifoldPlay-money markets

MetaculusForecasting community

Kalshi is a legitimate, regulated event exchange, and for people who want to trade outcomes with dollars it is the category leader. The reasons people go looking for an alternative are usually specific and practical rather than a complaint about the product.

• You do not want a funded account. Every real-money venue on this page requires you to deposit before you can take a position at all.
• Access rules. Event contracts are not available everywhere: Robinhood's own help centre states that Maryland residents cannot trade them and that Nevada residents cannot open new sports event contracts as of 1 December 2025 (Robinhood, Event contracts overview, read 3 August 2026).
• Per-trade cost. Kalshi's standard taker fee is charged on every entry and every exit, and it is largest exactly where the market is a coin flip. We break the arithmetic down on our Kalshi fees page.
• You want to call crypto direction without staking money. BitPredict scores an up-or-down call on a coin for free. Kalshi does list 15-minute and hourly price markets on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana, plus year-end ranges on Bitcoin and Ethereum, all open on 13 October 2026 (Kalshi public market data, checked 13 October 2026), and every one of them is a funded contract.
• You would rather be scored than paid. A public accuracy record is a different thing from a P&L, and some people want the first one without ever touching the second.

Comparing alternatives without knowing the baseline is guesswork, so here is the baseline, taken from Kalshi's own published schedule (Kalshi Fee Schedule for July 2026, 7.7.26 update, read 3 August 2026) and its help centre (Fees, dated 19 April 2026).

• The standard taker fee is M × 0.07 × C × P × (1 − P), where P is the contract price in dollars, C is the number of contracts and M is a per-series multiplier that defaults to 1. Because P × (1 − P) peaks at 0.25 when a market is a coin flip, the fee is largest exactly where you are least sure. How the result is rounded depends on the account: Kalshi's developer docs say the fee is worked out to a millionth of a dollar, then a rounding fee brings the balance to a hundredth of a cent for a direct member of the exchange (an account held with Kalshi itself) and to a whole cent for an account cleared through a broker, with any overpayment across the fills of one order paid back (Kalshi API docs, Fee Rounding, read 13 October 2026).
• Maker orders use M × 0.0175 × C × P × (1 − P), and that multiplier defaults to 0. So resting an order that later fills is free on most series, and the schedule's non-standard table names the ones where it is not. Cancelling an unfilled order is always free.
• There is no settlement fee and no membership fee. Kalshi charges when you trade, not when you win.
• ACH deposits and withdrawals are free in both directions. Card deposits carry up to 2%. Kalshi adds no fee of its own to wire deposits, and wire withdrawals are not currently supported under $500,000.
• Crypto is on the board, from 15 minutes to year-end. Kalshi lists 15-minute and hourly price markets on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana at the standard fee, all open on 13 October 2026 (Kalshi public market data, checked 13 October 2026). The non-standard fee table lists KXBTCY (BTC price range at year end) and KXETHY (ETH price at year end), both with a multiplier of 0 on the maker and taker side, which zeroes the fee on those two series. KXBTCMAX150 (when bitcoin hits $150k) carries a multiplier of 1 on both sides.
• Kalshi also lists perpetual futures now, which are a leveraged product: fees are charged on the notional position, on both the open and the close, and open positions pay or receive funding (Kalshi, Perps Fees Explained, read 3 August 2026). That is a different risk profile from a $1 binary contract, and worth knowing before you assume everything on Kalshi behaves the same way.

None of that is a criticism. It is a well-built, transparently priced exchange, and our Kalshi review says so. It is simply the cost of the thing, and the cost of the thing is the reason a free alternative exists at all. What Kalshi's prices were worth is measured in the prediction market accuracy study. Fee schedules change, so treat Kalshi's own page as the authority and this one as the explanation.

Once you know what Kalshi costs and covers, the alternatives sort themselves into three groups. Pick the group first, then the product.

1. Other regulated venues trading the same kind of contract. These are the closest substitutes, and the group people mean when they search for betting apps like Kalshi: real money on real contracts, through an app, under the same federal regulator. In February 2026 the CFTC filed an amicus brief reaffirming what it calls its exclusive jurisdiction over event contract markets (CFTC release 9183-26, 17 February 2026), which is the backdrop to every US venue in this group.

• Robinhood is the closest thing to a Kalshi app substitute, because it is not really a competing market: it resells access. Robinhood's own disclosure states that its event contracts are offered by Robinhood Derivatives, LLC through KalshiEX LLC, ForecastEX, LLC or Rothera Exchange and Clearing LLC. Its commission is k × p × (1 − p) × c, where k is 5% with a Robinhood Gold subscription and 10% without, capped at one cent per contract, and the exchange adds its own fee on top (Robinhood, Event contracts overview, read 3 August 2026). Our Robinhood prediction markets page covers it in full.
• Polymarket runs two things under one name. The global platform is not CFTC-regulated and its own developer documentation lists the United States as a close-only jurisdiction, meaning positions can be closed but not opened (Polymarket, Geographic Restrictions, read 3 August 2026). Polymarket separately operates Polymarket US, which its own site notice describes as operated by QCX LLC, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market, so check which of the two you are eligible for before signing up. Fees are taker-only, set by category: 0.07 on crypto, 0.05 on sport, economics, culture and weather, 0.04 on politics, finance, tech and mentions, and zero on geopolitics, with makers never charged (Polymarket, Fees, read 3 August 2026). See our Polymarket fees breakdown and the Kalshi vs Polymarket head-to-head.

2. Narrower real-money markets. PredictIt is the survivor here: it has been running political markets for years and it is still trading, with 197 markets live and shares changing hands on the 2026 midterms when we checked its home page on 3 August 2026. It is politics and world events only, so if you came looking for crypto it is the wrong door.

3. Free products where nothing is staked. This is the group most people asking for a "free version of Kalshi" actually want, and the three options in it are genuinely different from each other.

• Manifold runs play-money markets on any question a user creates. Its currency, mana, cannot be converted to cash, and every user starts with 1,000 of it for free. Manifold separately runs prize drawings with a free entry route (Manifold, About, read 3 August 2026). Breadth is the draw: you can make a market on almost anything.
• Metaculus is a forecasting community rather than a market, structured as a public benefit corporation, and its about page reports 24,968 questions, 12,283 of them resolved, and over 4.1 million predictions across 12 years (Metaculus, About, read 3 August 2026). Rigour is the draw: you submit probabilities on long-range questions and are scored on calibration.
• BitPredict narrows the idea to one thing: crypto direction. You call a coin UP or DOWN, the call locks with a timestamp, and the market settles it 24 hours later. Depth on one question is the draw, and it is the only one of the three where the whole product is built around calling crypto.

One note on the free group: none of these is a substitute for Kalshi if what you wanted was money. They are a substitute for the skill part of Kalshi, which for a lot of people is the part they were actually there for.

A free game and a regulated exchange are different products. Here's the side-by-side so you can pick the arena that fits what you actually want out of it.

	Money prediction markets	BitPredict
What's at stake	Your money	Your reputation
What you predict	Event outcomes	Crypto direction (UP / DOWN)
Timeframes	Per contract	24 hours
What you get	Cash payout	Accuracy, rank & a public record (nothing staked)
Cost to play	Funded account required	Free
Account friction	Funding & identity checks	Email or Google sign-up
Risk	You can lose money	Zero money at risk

kalshi.com

bitpredict.io

Kalshi's live exchange is real money: to hold a contract there you fund an account. For testing, Kalshi does run a separate demo environment with mock funds, and it says prices and market behaviour there may not reflect real markets (Kalshi API docs, Test In The Demo Environment, read 14 October 2026). What people usually mean by a free version of Kalshi is a product that scratches the same itch, calling what happens next, without the deposit. Three shapes of that exist, and they are the free group above; if crypto direction is specifically the itch, crypto betting explained walks through how the free route compares with the funded ones.

• Play-money markets (Manifold) hand you a currency that cannot be cashed out, so nothing real is at stake and the question range is unlimited.
• Forecasting communities (Metaculus) score how well-calibrated your probability estimates turn out to be over long horizons.
• Skill-based prediction games (BitPredict) focus the idea on crypto: call a coin UP or DOWN, lock it, and get scored on accuracy with a public, verifiable record.
• None of the three needs a deposit, so you can start with an email and find out whether you can actually call the market before deciding whether you ever want money involved.

• A public, verifiable track record: every call is timestamped and locked instantly, and it can't be edited or faked.
• Global and per-asset accuracy leaderboards ranked by real hit rate, not by how much you put in.
• The one-call rule: one live prediction at a time on the free plan after week one, so one considered call beats fifty hedged ones.
• Crowd sentiment and a clean view across Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and more.
• Optional Pro and Elite plans add analytics and real-time access, never required to play, predict, or rank.

That's the whole pitch: a free prediction market experience without the money. You bring the conviction. BitPredict keeps the receipts.