Coinbase prediction markets
Coinbase prediction markets now include 15-minute and hourly crypto price contracts
On 6 October 2026 Coinbase added crypto price markets to its prediction markets. You pick a coin, a time window that starts at 15 minutes, and a direction, and the contract pays $1 if you are right and $0 if you are not (Crypto Briefing, 6 October 2026). Kalshi operates the markets and Coinbase is the broker in front of them. This page covers how the contracts work, the ten coins, why the feature can show as unavailable, and what Coinbase says about fees, then a free way to make the same UP or DOWN call on BitPredict.
Coinbase added crypto price markets on 6 October 2026
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong announced the launch on 6 October 2026 with a post reading "Launching new prediction markets" (DigitalToday, 7 October 2026). Each contract is a yes-or-no claim on a coin's price: you choose the asset, the timeframe and the direction, and it settles at $1 if you are right and $0 if you are not. You buy with settled dollars or USDC. DigitalToday lists four market types: 15-minute, hourly, premarket and fixed-date.
The markets are Kalshi's. Kalshi operates them, and Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant and National Futures Association member, supplies access (DigitalToday). Coinbase's prediction markets already carried sports, politics and other event contracts in the same app before this launch (CryptoSlate), so the crypto price contracts are an addition to an existing product. It is the same arrangement as Robinhood's prediction markets: the app you open is the broker, not the exchange.
Coinbase's contracts last 15 minutes or an hour, while BitPredict calls last 24 hours
Time windows for a crypto call
Coinbase's shortest crypto contracts last 15 minutes (Crypto Briefing). BitPredict's regular calls run over 24 hours and settle automatically against the market price, so the two do not cover the same moments. A call that resolves in 15 minutes is something only a real-money market offers: BitPredict does not have one.
Coinbase lists ten coins, and BitPredict has a page for nine of them
The ten coins are Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, BNB, Shiba Inu, Zcash, Near and Hyperliquid (HYPE) (DigitalToday, 7 October 2026).
The ten coins on Coinbase
BitcoinBitPredict page
EthereumBitPredict page
SolanaBitPredict page
XRPBitPredict page
DogecoinBitPredict page
BNBBitPredict page
Shiba InuBitPredict page
ZcashBitPredict page
NearBitPredict page
HyperliquidNo BitPredict page
BitPredict has a prediction page for nine of them: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, BNB, Shiba Inu, Zcash and Near.
The markets can show as unavailable for four documented reasons
- You are in Nevada. The Nevada Gaming Control Board ordered Coinbase to halt its prediction markets in the state in February 2026, finding that the contracts are unlicensed gambling under state law, and Coinbase's chief legal officer called the move a "state power grab" (Yahoo Finance, 4 February 2026). A Nevada court issued a preliminary injunction on 26 March 2026, and Coinbase has switched the markets off for Nevada residents (CryptoSlate).
- You are outside the United States. The markets are for US residents only (DigitalToday).
- Your application was not approved. You apply for a separate Coinbase Financial Markets account, and Coinbase reviews your age, trading experience, occupation, income and net worth. Applications can be rejected (DeFi Rate; Coinbase's own steps are on its application help page).
- A state has acted on a contract type. The Michigan Gaming Control Board said Coinbase agreed to stop new sports event contracts for Michigan customers and to close positions by 10 October 2026 (Covers). Connecticut (10 September) and Ohio (2 October) also sent Coinbase orders or letters; each is dated in the state-by-state tracker.
Coinbase shows the fee on the order screen, not in a published schedule
Coinbase's help page on payouts says each trade includes fees that reduce the net payout (Coinbase help). The fee itself is not in a public table. DigitalToday's launch report says users can check fee details on a confirmation screen before they place an order, and CryptoSlate's review says Coinbase keeps the fee on the order screen (DigitalToday; CryptoSlate). DeFi Rate describes the total as Kalshi's base fee plus a Coinbase markup (DeFi Rate).
These are Kalshi's contracts, so Kalshi's published fee formula shows what the exchange side of a trade costs. On BitPredict there is no fee to read, because nothing is staked.
On BitPredict you can make the same UP or DOWN call for free
BitPredict is a free crypto prediction game. You pick a coin, call it UP or DOWN, and the call settles automatically 24 hours later against the market price. There is no trading, no deposit and no money at stake, so there is no order screen and no fee. Your accuracy is scored on a public leaderboard.
 BitPredict | Coinbase price markets | |
|---|---|---|
| What you do | Call a coin UP or DOWN | Buy a yes-or-no contract on a coin's price |
| Money at stake | None: no deposit, no money at stake | Yes: you pay for each contract with dollars or USDC |
| Time windows | 24 hours | 15 minutes, hourly and fixed-date markets |
| Coins | Any listed coin, including Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana | Ten coins |
| Fees | None: nothing is staked | Shown on the order screen before you buy |
| What you get | A public record of your accuracy and a leaderboard rank | $1 for each winning contract and $0 for each losing one, minus fees |
| Account | A free account with email, Google or a wallet | A Coinbase account plus an approved predictions application |
The home page also has a free 10-second practice round on live Bitcoin, with nothing at stake. BitPredict does not have 15-minute or hourly calls: its regular calls run over 24 hours.
BitPredictFree · scored on accuracyCoinbaseCrypto price contracts in-app
KalshiRegulated US exchange
RobinhoodEvent contracts in-app
PolymarketCrypto-native · USDCMore on the platforms around Coinbase: Kalshi alternatives, Polymarket alternatives, Robinhood prediction markets and the dated list of state actions on prediction markets.
Frequently asked questions
What are Coinbase's crypto price prediction markets?
They are yes-or-no contracts on a coin's price that Coinbase added on 6 October 2026. You choose the coin, the timeframe, which starts at 15 minutes, and the direction. A contract settles at $1 if you are right and $0 if you are not.
Who runs Coinbase's prediction markets?
Kalshi operates the markets. Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant and National Futures Association member, is the broker that gives Coinbase users access to them.
Which coins can you use on Coinbase prediction markets?
Ten: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, BNB, Shiba Inu, Zcash, Near and Hyperliquid (HYPE). BitPredict has its own prediction page for nine of them; Hyperliquid is the one without a page.
Why are Coinbase prediction markets not available for me?
The documented reasons are being in Nevada, being outside the United States, an application to Coinbase Financial Markets that was not approved, and a state action on a contract type, as with Michigan sports contracts. Each is explained, with its source, above.
What are the fees on Coinbase prediction markets?
Coinbase says each trade includes fees that reduce the net payout. The amount is shown on the order screen before you place an order rather than in a published schedule. Kalshi publishes its own fee formula for the exchange side of a trade.
Is there a free way to make the same crypto call?
Yes. On BitPredict you pick a coin and call it UP or DOWN. There is no trading, no deposit and no money at stake, and your accuracy is scored on a public leaderboard.
Can I make 15-minute calls on BitPredict?
No. BitPredict's regular calls run over 24 hours and settle automatically against the market price. The home page has a free 10-second practice round on live Bitcoin.
