The BitPredict Wire
CFTC uses emergency powers to keep Kalshi trading amid New York suit
The CFTC invoked emergency authority to keep Kalshi live after New York sued to block it, while bitcoin holds flat near $63,794.
The market day
Bitcoin sat at $63,794.45, up a slight 0.18%, and ether added 0.43%, putting the two majors on roughly even footing for the day. Breadth was split almost down the middle: 49 of the top 100 coins rose and 51 fell, a coin flip of a market rather than a clear trend.
The real action was at the edges. Virtuals Protocol led gainers with a 9.99% jump, while KAITO cratered 27.88% to top the losers list, a gap that says more about individual token dynamics than any broad market mood.
Away from prices, regulation and institutional plumbing dominated the news. The CFTC's emergency move to keep Kalshi trading in New York headlined a day that also saw Goldman Sachs jump into bitcoin and ether income ETFs, Russia moving to cap retail crypto access, Fidelity adding staking to its ether ETF, and the SEC clearing Franklin Templeton's onchain fund system.
Named today: Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) predictions · Kaito (KAITO) predictions
The stories that matter
CFTC invokes emergency powers to keep Kalshi trading in New York
The CFTC triggered emergency authority to keep Kalshi operating after New York sued to bar its contracts, escalating a jurisdictional fight over whether states can treat federally regulated event contracts as gambling.
The prediction angle: A federal-state clash over event contracts like Kalshi's adds regulatory uncertainty that traders watching prediction and derivatives markets should track closely.
Sources: Decrypt · Cointelegraph · The Block
Goldman Sachs to acquire NEOS Investments for up to $2.25B
Goldman Sachs agreed to buy ETF manager NEOS in a cash-and-equity deal worth up to $2.25 billion, adding NEOS's roughly $30 billion ETF business including Bitcoin and Ether income funds and giving Goldman instant scale in that niche.
The prediction angle: A major bank buying into bitcoin and ether income ETFs signals deeper institutional plumbing being built around crypto, a slow-moving but structural bullish signal.
Sources: Bitcoin Magazine · Cointelegraph · Decrypt · CoinDesk · The Block · CoinGape
Russia restricts retail crypto trading to bitcoin, ether and USDT
The Bank of Russia proposed limiting non-qualified retail investors to Bitcoin, Ethereum and USDT with an annual purchase cap of about 300,000 rubles ($3,600) per broker, while excluding assets like XRP; qualified investors face no cap.
The prediction angle: Capping retail access to bitcoin, ether and USDT in a large market like Russia trims one pool of potential demand while narrowing which assets get official blessing.
Sources: CryptoSlate · CoinDesk · Decrypt · Yahoo Finance · Bitcoin Magazine · CoinGape · Cointelegraph
Fidelity files to add staking to its Ethereum ETF
Fidelity filed with the SEC to let its near $900 million ether ETF stake up to 100% of its ETH and pay investors quarterly cash distributions, keeping 85% of gross staking rewards, following BlackRock's earlier staking ETF debut.
The prediction angle: Adding staking yield to a near $900 million ether ETF makes holding ETH through a fund more attractive, which could support demand over time.
Sources: Decrypt · Cointelegraph · CoinDesk · CryptoPotato
SEC clears Franklin Templeton funds to use onchain BENJI system
The SEC issued a no-action letter allowing Franklin Templeton's traditional registered funds to invest in its blockchain-based BENJI/FOBXX fund for cash management, subject to 12 custody and control conditions.
The prediction angle: Letting traditional funds use an onchain cash management system is a small but real sign that regulators are comfortable with blockchain rails inside mainstream finance.
Sources: The Block · The Defiant
On the BitPredict board
46.2% of yesterday's 91 settled calls on BitPredict were correct, and the best call was a PEPE down bet that returned -5.63%.
Today's Daily Call asset is Gas (GAS), one shared question, up or down by midnight UTC. Think you can read this market? Put a timestamped call on record. It's free, and your accuracy is scored publicly.
Questions people are asking · August 13, 2026
Is bitcoin doing anything unusual today?
Not really. Bitcoin is up 0.18% to $63,794.45 and ether is up 0.43%, with the market split almost evenly between gainers and losers.
What is the CFTC's fight with New York over Kalshi about?
The CFTC invoked emergency authority to keep Kalshi operating after New York sued to block its contracts, a dispute over whether states can treat federally regulated event contracts as gambling.
Why did KAITO drop so much today?
No clear cause for KAITO's 27.88% drop was reported in today's news; it was simply the day's biggest decliner among the top 100 coins.
Every figure above is computed from live market data and BitPredict's public, verifiable prediction records at generation time (Thu, 13 Aug 2026 06:48:00 GMT). Nothing here is financial advice. Explore the free crypto calculators or browse predictions by coin.
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Digest archive
Last 30 editions
- August 13, 2026CFTC uses emergency powers to keep Kalshi trading amid New York suit
- August 12, 2026Riot Platforms strikes $9.1B Anthropic compute deal, stock jumps 24%
- August 11, 2026NYT ties $100M WLFI purchase to UK money laundering suspect
- August 10, 2026Senate races to vote on CLARITY Act before August recess
- August 9, 2026CLARITY Act cloture vote pushed to Sept 15 as Democrats block earlier path
- August 8, 2026Trump Media walks away from CRO treasury deal with Crypto.com
- August 7, 2026Putin signs Russia's first crypto trading law as BTC slips to $64,359
- August 6, 2026Bitcoin edges up to $64,882 while breadth stays negative and Strategy keeps selling BTC
- August 5, 2026Coldcard's fix cannot recover stolen coins as BTC edges to $64,176
- August 4, 2026Coldcard losses near $114M and Strategy sells 1,638 BTC
- August 3, 2026Bitcoin slips to $62,650 as breadth turns ugly, 86 of 100 coins red
- August 2, 2026Strategy clears $5B of bitcoin sales as BTC edges up to $63,480
- August 1, 2026Bitcoin slips to $63,083 as breadth tilts negative and LDO leads losers
- July 31, 2026Coldcard wallets drained of $38M while bitcoin sits flat at $64K
- July 27, 2026Bitcoin climbs past $65,400 as Ethereum and most of the market join in
- July 26, 2026Bitcoin edges up to $64,416 as breadth turns broadly green
- July 25, 2026Bitcoin slides 2.3% as red sweeps 86 of the top 100 coins
- July 24, 2026Bitcoin holds near $65.6K as breadth turns ugly: 78 of 100 coins fall
- July 23, 2026Bitcoin dips slightly, breadth stays positive as WLFI jumps and DEXE tumbles
- July 22, 2026Bitcoin holds flat near $65.9K while breadth caves and DEXE craters 87%
- July 21, 2026Bitcoin climbs near $65,900 as almost the entire market turns green
- July 20, 2026Bitcoin slips to $63,929 as breadth turns ugly across the board
- July 19, 2026BTC and ETH grind higher while breadth splits: KAITO leads, BONK slides
- July 18, 2026Bitcoin climbs 1.7% to near $64K as breadth turns broadly positive
- July 17, 2026Red across the board: BTC slips 2.9%, ETH down nearly 5%, only 9 of 100 coins gain
- July 16, 2026Crypto sits flat as ONDO rips 17% and GNO craters 22%
- July 15, 2026Bitcoin climbs 3.4% to $64,783 as breadth turns broadly green
- July 14, 2026BTC slips under $62.6K while breadth stays weak despite ETH's small gain
- July 13, 2026Bitcoin slips below $63K as breadth turns ugly, DCR bucks the trend
- July 12, 2026Bitcoin slips under $63.8K as breadth turns sharply negative
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