Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give Bitcoin an 8.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET
- Chance now
- 8.5%
- reaching $100,000
- Traded
- $82.8M
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Settles
- 31 Dec
- 2026, or when a target is touched
Since 25 Nov 2025 the chance of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 has fallen from 82% to 8.5%.
Chance over time
- Reach $100,000
- Reach $150,000
- Dip to $60,000
Polymarket lists 30 open targets on Bitcoin's price in 2026, and 7 have already settled.
Prices it can reach
- $90,00023%$2.9M traded
- $95,00013%$1.2M traded
- $100,0008.5%$4.1M traded
- $110,0002.9%$2.4M traded
- $120,0002.4%$2.4M traded
- $130,0002.1%$2.3M traded
- $140,0001.4%$1.4M traded
- $150,0001.5%$1.3M traded
- $160,0001.3%$765K traded
- $170,0001.1%$486K traded
- $180,0001.1%$589K traded
- $190,0000.7%$824K traded
- $200,0000.7%$2.2M traded
- $250,0000.1%$5.7M traded
- $500,0000.3%$1.7M traded
- $1,000,0000.2%$3.3M traded
Prices it can dip to
- $70,00056%$1.7M traded
- $65,00030%$844K traded
- $60,00019%$1.6M traded
- $55,00011%$7.5M traded
- $50,0005.5%$5.4M traded
- $45,0003%$9.3M traded
- $40,0002.4%$2.9M traded
- $35,0001.8%$3.7M traded
- $30,0001.9%$971K traded
- $25,0001.3%$1.5M traded
- $20,0000.4%$714K traded
- $15,0000.7%$5.1M traded
- $10,0000.4%$949K traded
- $5,0000.3%$862K traded
Settled results (7)
- Reach $65,000Yes$41.7K traded
- Reach $70,000Yes$274K traded
- Reach $75,000Yes$258K traded
- Reach $80,000Yes$776K traded
- Reach $85,000Yes$921K traded
- Dip to $85,000Yes$12.4K traded
- Dip to $75,000Yes$1.1M traded
A Bitcoin target settles Yes when Bitcoin's price touches it at any time before the end of 31 December 2026.
- The price. A large exchange's BTC/USDT chart, read one-minute candle by one-minute candle: a reach target looks at each candle's highest price, a dip target at its lowest.
- The window. Only price moves after a market was created count, so a target can still be open when an older market at the same price has already settled.
- The finish. A target settles Yes the moment it is touched and No at 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026 if it never was.
In the last 30 days, 71% of the 84 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (84 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks the same kind of question this market does, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
Reading these odds because you want to bet on a coin's price? The crypto betting guide sets out what a wrong call costs on a prediction market, on futures and on a free call.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's Bitcoin odds.
What chance does Polymarket give Bitcoin reaching $100,000?
8.5%, read on 8 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket Bitcoin market settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. A target settles Yes the moment it is touched and No at 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026 if it never was.
Which Bitcoin outcome has the most money on it?
A drop to $45,000 is the busiest, with $9.3M traded in total, as read on 8 Nov 2026.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other big crypto markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket and Kalshi.
See every live market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.