Kalshi odds today
Traders on Kalshi give Bitcoin an 11% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Kalshi market turned into a percentage. We read it from Kalshi's public market data on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Kalshi on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET
- Chance now
- 11%
- reaching $100,000
- Traded
- 5.5M
- contracts, each paying $1 if it wins
- Settles
- 31 Dec
- 2026, or when a target is touched
Since 3 Jan 2026 the chance of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 has fallen from 85% to 11%.
Chance over time
- Reach $100,000
- Reach $200,000
- Reach $110,000
Kalshi lists 7 open targets on how high Bitcoin gets in 2026.
Prices it can reach
- $100,000 or above11%1.8M contracts traded
- $110,000 or above5.5%765K contracts traded
- $120,000 or above3%681K contracts traded
- $130,000 or above1.5%512K contracts traded
- $140,000 or above1%353K contracts traded
- $150,000 or above1.5%484K contracts traded
- $200,000 or above1.5%886K contracts traded
A Bitcoin target settles Yes when Bitcoin's price touches it at any time before the end of 31 December 2026.
- The price. Kalshi settles on the CF Benchmarks real-time Bitcoin index, as the market rules define it.
- The targets. A target settles Yes once the index goes above it at any point before 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026, and the market closes early the moment that happens.
- The finish. A target the index never reaches settles No at 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
In the last 30 days, 71% of the 84 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (84 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks the same kind of question this market does, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
Reading these odds because you want to bet on a coin's price? The crypto betting guide sets out what a wrong call costs on a prediction market, on futures and on a free call.
These are the questions people ask about Kalshi's Bitcoin odds.
What chance does Kalshi give Bitcoin reaching $100,000?
11%, read on 8 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes contract, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Kalshi Bitcoin market settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. A target the index never reaches settles No at 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
Which Bitcoin outcome has the most money on it?
A rise to $100,000 is the busiest, with 1.8M contracts traded in total, as read on 8 Nov 2026.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other big crypto markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket and Kalshi.
See every live market on Kalshi odds today, or compare the two venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.