Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 2.8% chance of setting a new all-time high by 31 December 2026.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET
- Chance now
- 2.8%
- by 31 December 2026
- Traded
- $10.5M
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Settles
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 17 Dec 2025 the chance of Bitcoin setting a new all-time high by 31 December 2026 has fallen from 31% to 2.8%.
Chance over time
- By 31 December 2026
- By 30 September 2026Settled No
- By 30 June 2026Settled No
Polymarket lists 1 open deadline on a new Bitcoin all-time high, and 3 have already settled.
- 31 December 20262.8%$1.9M traded
Settled results (3)
- 31 March 2026No$3.9M traded
- 30 June 2026No$3M traded
- 30 September 2026No$1.7M traded
Each deadline settles Yes if Bitcoin sets a new all-time high by 11:59 PM ET on its date.
- The price. A large exchange's BTC/USDT chart, read one-minute candle by one-minute candle: a new high counts when a candle's highest price beats the highest price of every earlier candle.
- The deadlines. Each quarter-end is its own market, and a market settles at 11:59 PM ET on its date, or the moment a new high is set.
- The earlier deadlines. A deadline that has passed without a new high settled No and stays in the table with that result.
In the last 30 days, 71% of the 84 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (84 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks the same kind of question this market does, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
Reading these odds because you want to bet on a coin's price? The crypto betting guide sets out what a wrong call costs on a prediction market, on futures and on a free call.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's Bitcoin odds.
What chance does Polymarket give Bitcoin setting a new all-time high by 31 December 2026?
2.8%, read on 8 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket Bitcoin market settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. A deadline that has passed without a new high settled No and stays in the table with that result.
Which Bitcoin outcome has the most money on it?
The 31 December 2026 deadline is the busiest, with $1.9M traded in total, as read on 8 Nov 2026.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other big crypto markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket and Kalshi.
See every live market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.