Super Bowl odds today
Kalshi rates the San Francisco 49ers as the likeliest 2027 Super Bowl winner, at 14.5%, while Polymarket rates the Buffalo Bills first, at 14.5%.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a team's market turned into a percentage. Kalshi titles its market "2027 Pro Football Champion" and Polymarket titles its market "Pro Football: 2027 Champion", and both settle on the team that wins the Super Bowl. We read Kalshi and Polymarket's public market data on 12 Nov 2026, 8:38 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Kalshi and Polymarket on 12 Nov 2026, 8:38 AM ET
- Kalshi
- 14.5%
- San Francisco 49ers lead
- Polymarket
- 14.5%
- Buffalo Bills lead
- Settles
- 14 Feb
- 2027, per Kalshi's listing
Here is how Kalshi and Polymarket rate the 10 teams most likely to win the 2027 Super Bowl, side by side.
Chance of winning
- Kalshi
- Polymarket
- 1Buffalo BillsKalshi14%Polymarket14.5%
- 2San Francisco 49ersKalshi14.5%Polymarket14%
- 3Jacksonville JaguarsKalshi10.5%Polymarket12.3%
- 4Chicago BearsKalshi11.5%Polymarket10.9%
- 5Kansas City ChiefsKalshi7.5%Polymarket9.6%
- 6Cincinnati BengalsKalshi6.5%Polymarket5.7%
- 7Los Angeles RamsKalshi5.5%Polymarket5.2%
- 8Denver BroncosKalshi5.5%Polymarket4.7%
- 9Minnesota VikingsKalshi4.5%Polymarket5.3%
- 10Detroit LionsKalshi4.5%Polymarket3.8%
Kalshi and Polymarket each list 32 teams for the 2027 Super Bowl winner, and only one of them can settle Yes.
| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 14% | 14.5% |
| San Francisco 49ers | 14.5% | 14% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 10.5% | 12.3% |
| Chicago Bears | 11.5% | 10.9% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.5% | 9.6% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Denver Broncos | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Minnesota Vikings | 4.5% | 5.3% |
| Detroit Lions | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Green Bay Packers | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| New England Patriots | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Houston Texans | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.5% | 2.1% |
| New York Giants | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Dallas Cowboys | 1.5% | 1% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Washington Commanders | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| New York Jets | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.5% | <0.1% |
Each venue settles a team's market Yes only if that team wins, and the dates below come from the venues' own listings.
- Kalshi. A team's market settles Yes if that team wins the 2027 pro football championship, and the market closes once a champion is declared. Kalshi expects to settle on 14 February 2027.
- Polymarket. A team's market settles Yes if that team wins the 2027 NFL league championship, and settles No as soon as the team can no longer win, for example when it is knocked out of the playoffs. The market is scheduled to close on 31 March 2027, and if no champion is declared by then Polymarket resolves it to Other, not to a listed team.
- The chances. A Yes share pays $1 if the team wins, so a price of 14 cents is a 14% chance. For Kalshi we use the midpoint of the best bid and ask when they are within 10 cents of each other, and the last trade when they are not. For Polymarket we use the price it publishes for Yes.
- The volume. Kalshi counts contracts and Polymarket counts US dollars, so the two totals cannot be compared directly.
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These are the questions people ask about Kalshi and Polymarket odds on the 2027 Super Bowl winner.
Who is the favorite to win the 2027 Super Bowl on Kalshi and Polymarket?
Kalshi rates the San Francisco 49ers first, at 14.5%, and Polymarket rates the Buffalo Bills first, at 14.5%, as read on 12 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
What do the 2027 Super Bowl odds on this page mean?
Each percentage is the price of a Yes share in one team's market. A share pays $1 if the team wins, so a price of 14 cents means the market gives that team about a 14% chance. It is what traders are paying, not a promise: a team at 14% still loses about 86 times in 100 if the prices are set well.
How do Kalshi and Polymarket differ for this market?
Both ask which team wins the 2027 Super Bowl, and both pay $1 for a winning share. Kalshi, a US-regulated exchange, counts trading in contracts (241M contracts so far), while Polymarket counts US dollars ($72.9M so far), so the totals cannot be compared directly. Kalshi expects to settle on 14 February 2027. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 31 March 2027 and resolves to Other if no champion is declared by then.
Which team do Kalshi and Polymarket disagree on most?
Kansas City Chiefs: Kalshi gives 7.5% and Polymarket gives 9.6%, a gap of 2.1 points.
Why do the chances not add up to exactly 100%?
Each team's price is set by its own trading, so the prices need not add up to exactly 100%. On this read Kalshi's chances add up to 110.5% and Polymarket's to 103.5%. Kalshi's total runs above 100% partly because a team quoted between 0 and 1 cent shows as 0.5%.
When does the market on the 2027 Super Bowl winner settle?
Kalshi expects to settle on 14 February 2027, once the champion is declared. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 31 March 2027, which is the latest it can settle.
Can I make a free prediction on BitPredict?
Yes, but BitPredict covers crypto, not football. It is free to play: you call Bitcoin or another coin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.