Stanley Cup odds today
Kalshi and Polymarket both rate the Carolina Hurricanes as the likeliest 2027 Stanley Cup champion, at 13.5% on Kalshi and 12.5% on Polymarket.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a team's market turned into a percentage. Kalshi titles its market "2026-27 Stanley Cup® Final Winner" and Polymarket titles its market "NHL: 2027 Champion", and both settle on the team that wins the 2027 Stanley Cup Final. We read Kalshi and Polymarket's public market data on 14 Nov 2026, 9:13 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Kalshi and Polymarket on 14 Nov 2026, 9:13 PM ET
- Kalshi
- 13.5%
- Carolina Hurricanes lead
- Polymarket
- 12.5%
- Carolina Hurricanes lead
- Settles
- 1 Jul
- 2027, per Kalshi's listing
Here is how Kalshi and Polymarket rate the 10 teams most likely to win the 2027 Stanley Cup, side by side.
Chance of winning
- Kalshi
- Polymarket
- 1Carolina HurricanesKalshi13.5%Polymarket12.5%
- 2Edmonton OilersKalshi9.5%Polymarket11.5%
- 3Colorado AvalancheKalshi10.5%Polymarket9.5%
- 4Minnesota WildKalshi11.5%Polymarket7.5%
- 5New Jersey DevilsKalshi7.5%Polymarket6.8%
- 6Vegas Golden KnightsKalshi6.5%Polymarket7.5%
- 7Florida PanthersKalshi7.5%Polymarket5.5%
- 8Dallas StarsKalshi5.5%Polymarket5.5%
- 9Tampa Bay LightningKalshi5.5%Polymarket4.5%
- 10Montréal CanadiensKalshi4.5%Polymarket4.9%
Kalshi and Polymarket each list 32 teams for the 2027 Stanley Cup champion, and only one of them can settle Yes.
| Team | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Edmonton Oilers | 9.5% | 11.5% |
| Colorado Avalanche | 10.5% | 9.5% |
| Minnesota Wild | 11.5% | 7.5% |
| New Jersey Devils | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 6.5% | 7.5% |
| Florida Panthers | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Dallas Stars | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Montréal Canadiens | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| Washington Capitals | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Utah Mammoth | 3.5% | 3% |
| Boston Bruins | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Ottawa Senators | 2.5% | 3% |
| Los Angeles Kings | 1.5% | 1.8% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 1.5% | 1.8% |
| Anaheim Ducks | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Buffalo Sabres | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| New York Rangers | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 0.5% | 1.7% |
| San Jose Sharks | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| St. Louis Blues | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Nashville Predators | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Winnipeg Jets | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| New York Islanders | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Seattle Kraken | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Calgary Flames | 0.5% | <0.1% |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.5% | <0.1% |
Each venue settles a team's market Yes only if that team wins, and the dates below come from the venues' own listings.
- Kalshi. A team's market settles Yes if that team wins the 2026-27 Stanley Cup Final, and the market closes once a champion is declared. Kalshi expects to settle on 1 July 2027.
- Polymarket. A team's market settles Yes if that team is the NHL champion for the 2026-27 season, and settles No as soon as the team can no longer win, for example when it is knocked out of the playoffs. The market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2027, and if no champion is declared by then Polymarket resolves it to Other, not to a listed team.
- The chances. A Yes share pays $1 if the team wins, so a price of 14 cents is a 14% chance. For Kalshi we use the midpoint of the best bid and ask when they are within 10 cents of each other, and the last trade when they are not. For Polymarket we use the price it publishes for Yes.
- The volume. Kalshi counts contracts and Polymarket counts US dollars, so the two totals cannot be compared directly.
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These are the questions people ask about Kalshi and Polymarket odds on the 2027 Stanley Cup champion.
Who is the favorite to win the 2027 Stanley Cup on Kalshi and Polymarket?
Kalshi rates the Carolina Hurricanes first, at 13.5%, and Polymarket rates the Carolina Hurricanes first, at 12.5%, as read on 14 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
What do the 2027 Stanley Cup Final odds on this page mean?
Each percentage is the price of a Yes share in one team's market. A share pays $1 if the team wins, so a price of 14 cents means the market gives that team about a 14% chance. It is what traders are paying, not a promise: a team at 14% still loses about 86 times in 100 if the prices are set well.
How do Kalshi and Polymarket differ for this market?
Both ask which team wins the 2027 Stanley Cup Final, and both pay $1 for a winning share. Kalshi, a US-regulated exchange, counts trading in contracts (6.4M contracts so far), while Polymarket counts US dollars ($1.8M so far), so the totals cannot be compared directly. Kalshi expects to settle on 1 July 2027. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2027 and resolves to Other if no champion is declared by then.
Which team do Kalshi and Polymarket disagree on most?
Minnesota Wild: Kalshi gives 11.5% and Polymarket gives 7.5%, a gap of 4 points.
Why do the chances not add up to exactly 100%?
Each team's price is set by its own trading, so the prices need not add up to exactly 100%. On this read Kalshi's chances add up to 110% and Polymarket's to 102.4%. Kalshi's total runs above 100% partly because a team quoted between 0 and 1 cent shows as 0.5%.
When does the market on the 2027 Stanley Cup champion settle?
Kalshi expects to settle on 1 July 2027, once the champion is declared. Polymarket's market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2027, which is the latest it can settle.
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