Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give the total stablecoin market cap reaching $500 billion before the end of 2026 a 4.6% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET
- Chance now
- 4.6%
- Stablecoins $500B
- Traded
- $606K
- US dollars, on this market
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 31 Dec 2025 the chance of the total stablecoin market cap reaching $500 billion before the end of 2026 has fallen from 32% to 4.6%.
Chance over time
- Chance of Yes
Polymarket trades one Yes-or-No market on the stablecoin market passing $500 billion, so its two prices add up to about 100%.
- Yes4.6%$606K traded
- No95%
Polymarket settles this market by the rules below, which say exactly what counts as Yes.
- What counts. The total stablecoin market cap on a public stablecoin tracker's total page being at or above $500 billion on any day by 31 December 2026.
- The finish. A day's figure counts once the next day's figure is published. If no day reaches the level, the market settles No.
- The source. That tracker's total stablecoins page. If it goes permanently offline, other credible and publicly verifiable sources are used.
Stablecoins are the dollars crypto traders use, so their total size shows how much cash is in the market.
A stablecoin is a crypto token designed to hold a steady value, usually one US dollar, and traders hold them to move in and out of coins like Bitcoin.
A growing total can mean more money waiting to be spent on crypto, though it does not by itself say that Bitcoin will rise.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on the stablecoin market passing $500 billion.
What chance does Polymarket give the total stablecoin market cap reaching $500 billion before the end of 2026?
4.6%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on the stablecoin market passing $500 billion settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. The total stablecoin market cap on a public stablecoin tracker's total page being at or above $500 billion on any day by 31 December 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on the stablecoin market passing $500 billion mean for Bitcoin?
A stablecoin is a crypto token designed to hold a steady value, usually one US dollar, and traders hold them to move in and out of coins like Bitcoin.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.