Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give a Consensys IPO by 31 December 2026 a 3.3% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 9 Nov 2026, 12:56 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 9 Nov 2026, 12:56 PM ET
- Chance now
- 3.3%
- By 31 December 2026
- Traded
- $473K
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 5 Nov 2025 the chance of a Consensys IPO by 31 December 2026 has fallen from 54% to 3.3%.
Chance over time
- By 31 December 2026
Polymarket lists 1 open deadline on when Consensys goes public, and 4 have already settled.
- By 31 December 20263.3%$172K traded
Settled results (4)
- By 31 December 2025No$38.5K traded
- By 31 March 2026No$29.5K traded
- By 30 June 2026No$32.7K traded
- By 30 September 2026No$200K traded
Each deadline settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. Consensys, the parent company of MetaMask, completing an initial public offering on a recognised stock exchange by the deadline.
- What does not. Being bought by a company that is already public settles the market No at once.
- The source. A consensus of credible reporting.
A Consensys listing would tie a stock to Ethereum's software rather than to crypto trading.
Consensys builds MetaMask, the wallet many people use to reach Ethereum apps, so its value rests on how much those apps get used.
A listing would give stock investors a new way to bet on that, and the deadlines that passed show how often the date has slipped.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 6.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 9 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 68% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 50% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on when Consensys goes public.
What chance does Polymarket give a Consensys IPO by 31 December 2026?
3.3%, read on 9 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on when Consensys goes public settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. Consensys, the parent company of MetaMask, completing an initial public offering on a recognised stock exchange by the deadline.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on when Consensys goes public has the most money on it?
By 31 December 2026 is the busiest, with $172K traded in total, as read on 9 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on when Consensys goes public mean for Bitcoin?
Consensys builds MetaMask, the wallet many people use to reach Ethereum apps, so its value rests on how much those apps get used.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other economy markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.