Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give USDC losing its dollar peg before 2027 a 1.3% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET
- Chance now
- 1.3%
- USDC
- Traded
- $306K
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 30 Dec 2025 the chance of USDC losing its dollar peg before 2027 has fallen from 9% to 1.3%.
Chance over time
- USDC
- USDE
- USD1
Polymarket lists 9 open coin markets on a stablecoin losing its dollar peg before 2027, and 1 has already settled.
- USDC1.3%$268K traded
- USDE2.1%$9.1K traded
- USDS7%$1.4K traded
- DAI2.9%$4.1K traded
- USD110%$16.7K traded
- PYUSD8.8%$1.4K traded
- USDTb5.9%$1.6K traded
- USD06%$1.9K traded
- GHO8%$1.8K traded
Settled results (1)
- USRYes$0 traded
Each coin market settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. A coin depegs when every one-minute price candle over any 24 hours stays below 98 cents against the dollar, on a public price feed, between 27 October 2025 and 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
- The last day. A 24-hour stretch that starts on the last day of 2026 still counts.
- Each coin is its own market. A coin that has already depegged settles Yes at once and stays in the table with that result.
A stablecoin that breaks its peg can shake the whole crypto market, Bitcoin included.
Traders use stablecoins as the cash side of nearly every crypto trade, so a coin that loses its dollar value can trigger fast selling across the market.
Each chance here is small, and reading them beside Bitcoin's price odds shows how much risk traders see in the plumbing of crypto.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on a stablecoin losing its dollar peg before 2027.
What chance does Polymarket give USDC losing its dollar peg before 2027?
1.3%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on a stablecoin losing its dollar peg before 2027 settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. A coin depegs when every one-minute price candle over any 24 hours stays below 98 cents against the dollar, on a public price feed, between 27 October 2025 and 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on a stablecoin losing its dollar peg before 2027 has the most money on it?
USDC is the busiest, with $268K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on a stablecoin losing its dollar peg before 2027 mean for Bitcoin?
Traders use stablecoins as the cash side of nearly every crypto trade, so a coin that loses its dollar value can trigger fast selling across the market.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.