Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give a Predict.fun token launch by December 31, 2026 a 93% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 1:23 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 1:23 PM ET
- Chance now
- 93%
- By December 31, 2026
- Traded
- $1.9M
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2027, scheduled close
Since 13 Mar 2026 the chance of a Predict.fun token launch by December 31, 2026 has risen from 75% to 93%.
Chance over time
- By December 31, 2026
- By November 30, 2026
Polymarket lists 7 open deadlines on a Predict.fun token launch, and 4 have already settled.
- By November 15, 202611%$252K traded
- By November 30, 202687%$240K traded
- By December 31, 202693%$402K traded
- By March 31, 202797%$84.5K traded
- By June 30, 202798%$63.2K traded
- By September 30, 202799%$39.1K traded
- By December 31, 202799%$52.2K traded
Settled results (4)
- By March 31, 2026No$10.4K traded
- By June 30, 2026No$87.9K traded
- By September 30, 2026No$75.5K traded
- By October 31, 2026No$568K traded
Each deadline settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. Predict.fun officially launching a governance token that people can freely transfer and trade, by 11:59 PM ET on the date.
- What does not. An announcement alone does not count: the token has to be live and tradable.
- The source. Information from Predict.fun, or a consensus of credible reporting.
A token from a prediction market shows where crypto traders are putting their attention next.
Predict.fun lets people trade on the outcome of events using crypto, the same kind of market BitPredict reads for Bitcoin.
Traders watch launches like this because they tend to follow money flowing into crypto, so the speed of the odds here says something about the mood around Bitcoin.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 69% of the 89 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (89 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on a Predict.fun token launch.
What chance does Polymarket give a Predict.fun token launch by December 31, 2026?
93%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on a Predict.fun token launch settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2027. Predict.fun officially launching a governance token that people can freely transfer and trade, by 11:59 PM ET on the date.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on a Predict.fun token launch has the most money on it?
By December 31, 2026 is the busiest, with $402K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on a Predict.fun token launch mean for Bitcoin?
Predict.fun lets people trade on the outcome of events using crypto, the same kind of market BitPredict reads for Bitcoin.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.