Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give an OpenSea token launch by December 31, 2026 a 5.1% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET
- Chance now
- 5.1%
- By December 31, 2026
- Traded
- $1.7M
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2027, scheduled close
Since 27 Jan 2026 the chance of an OpenSea token launch by December 31, 2026 has fallen from 90% to 5.1%.
Chance over time
- By December 31, 2026
Polymarket lists 4 open deadlines on an OpenSea token launch, and 3 have already settled.
- By December 31, 20265.1%$232K traded
- By March 31, 202714%$2.6K traded
- By June 30, 202721%$3K traded
- By December 31, 202734%$300 traded
Settled results (3)
- By March 31, 2026No$1M traded
- By June 30, 2026No$276K traded
- By September 30, 2026No$152K traded
Each deadline settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. OpenSea officially launching a governance token (one that gives holders a vote on the product) that people can freely transfer and trade, by 11:59 PM ET on the date.
- What does not. An announcement alone does not count: the token has to be live and tradable.
- The source. Information from OpenSea, or a consensus of credible reporting.
An OpenSea token would test how much appetite crypto traders still have for NFT businesses.
OpenSea is the best-known marketplace for NFTs, digital items recorded on a blockchain, and a token would give its users a stake in it.
Launches like this tend to draw trading money when the wider crypto market feels strong, which is why these dates are a read on the mood around Bitcoin too.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on an OpenSea token launch.
What chance does Polymarket give an OpenSea token launch by December 31, 2026?
5.1%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on an OpenSea token launch settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2027. OpenSea officially launching a governance token (one that gives holders a vote on the product) that people can freely transfer and trade, by 11:59 PM ET on the date.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on an OpenSea token launch has the most money on it?
By December 31, 2026 is the busiest, with $232K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on an OpenSea token launch mean for Bitcoin?
OpenSea is the best-known marketplace for NFTs, digital items recorded on a blockchain, and a token would give its users a stake in it.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.