Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give MicroStrategy announcing holdings of 1M+ BTC by 31 December 2026 a 0.7% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:17 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:17 PM ET
- Chance now
- 0.7%
- 1M+ BTC
- Traded
- $573K
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 11 Mar 2026 the chance of MicroStrategy announcing holdings of 1M+ BTC by 31 December 2026 has fallen from 17% to 0.7%.
Chance over time
- 1M+ BTC
Polymarket lists 1 open level on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings by the end of 2026, and 1 has already settled.
- 1M+ BTC0.7%$360K traded
Settled results (1)
- 800k+ BTCYes$212K traded
Each level settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor officially announcing that the company's total Bitcoin holdings are at or above the number in the market, at any point by 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
- Early results. A level that has already been announced settles Yes at once and stays in the table with that result.
- The source. Official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor of the company's total Bitcoin holdings.
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin pile is one of the biggest corporate bets on crypto anywhere.
MicroStrategy, now called Strategy, has kept buying Bitcoin and announces its total from time to time, so each level here is a bet on how long that buying continues.
A company that keeps adding Bitcoin is a steady buyer in the market, so this chance is a read on that demand, and on how its own share price and funding are holding up.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings by the end of 2026.
What chance does Polymarket give MicroStrategy announcing holdings of 1M+ BTC by 31 December 2026?
0.7%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings by the end of 2026 settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor officially announcing that the company's total Bitcoin holdings are at or above the number in the market, at any point by 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings by the end of 2026 has the most money on it?
1M+ BTC is the busiest, with $360K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings by the end of 2026 mean for Bitcoin?
MicroStrategy, now called Strategy, has kept buying Bitcoin and announces its total from time to time, so each level here is a bet on how long that buying continues.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.