Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give a MetaMask token launch by 31 December 2026 a 4.5% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:27 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:27 PM ET
- Chance now
- 4.5%
- By 31 December 2026
- Traded
- $8.7M
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2027, scheduled close
Since 9 Feb 2026 the chance of a MetaMask token launch by 31 December 2026 has fallen from 48% to 4.5%.
Chance over time
- By 31 December 2026
Polymarket lists 4 open deadlines on a MetaMask token launch, and 3 have already settled.
- By 31 December 20264.5%$340K traded
- By 31 March 202711%$1.8K traded
- By 30 June 202713%$2.2K traded
- By 31 December 202739%$430 traded
Settled results (3)
- By 31 December 2025No$6.2M traded
- By 30 June 2026No$1.2M traded
- By 30 September 2026No$1.1M traded
Each deadline settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. MetaMask officially launching a token that people can freely transfer and trade, by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline.
- What does not. An announcement alone does not count: the token has to be live and tradable.
- The source. Information from MetaMask, or a consensus of credible reporting.
A MetaMask token would be one of the biggest crypto launches for traders to watch.
MetaMask is a popular wallet for reaching Ethereum apps, and a token for it would give its many users a stake in the product.
Big launches often pull attention and money toward the wider crypto market, so the dates in this table also read as a guide to how traders see the months ahead.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on a MetaMask token launch.
What chance does Polymarket give a MetaMask token launch by 31 December 2026?
4.5%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on a MetaMask token launch settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2027. MetaMask officially launching a token that people can freely transfer and trade, by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on a MetaMask token launch has the most money on it?
By 31 December 2026 is the busiest, with $340K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on a MetaMask token launch mean for Bitcoin?
MetaMask is a popular wallet for reaching Ethereum apps, and a token for it would give its many users a stake in the product.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.