Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give HYPE overtaking Solana by market cap before the end of 2026 a 2.6% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET
- Chance now
- 2.6%
- Hyperliquid flips Solana
- Traded
- $322K
- US dollars, on this market
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 29 Apr 2026 the chance of HYPE overtaking Solana by market cap before the end of 2026 has fallen from 14% to 2.6%.
Chance over time
- Chance of Yes
Polymarket trades one Yes-or-No market on Hyperliquid's token overtaking Solana by market cap, so its two prices add up to about 100%.
- Yes2.6%$322K traded
- No97%
Polymarket settles this market by the rules below, which say exactly what counts as Yes.
- What counts. The market cap of HYPE, Hyperliquid's token, going above Solana's at any point between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
- The source. A public crypto data site's figure for each coin. If it stops showing them, another major market cap tracker is used.
A flip between two big crypto networks would show where traders think the next tier of the market is going.
Market cap is a coin's price times the coins in circulation, and passing Solana would put HYPE among the largest tokens in crypto.
Bitcoin has long been far larger than either, so this market is about the order of the next tier, which tends to follow the mood of the whole crypto market.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on Hyperliquid's token overtaking Solana by market cap.
What chance does Polymarket give HYPE overtaking Solana by market cap before the end of 2026?
2.6%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on Hyperliquid's token overtaking Solana by market cap settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. The market cap of HYPE, Hyperliquid's token, going above Solana's at any point between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on Hyperliquid's token overtaking Solana by market cap mean for Bitcoin?
Market cap is a coin's price times the coins in circulation, and passing Solana would put HYPE among the largest tokens in crypto.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.