Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give a second Hyperliquid airdrop by 31 December 2026 a 6% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:28 PM ET
- Chance now
- 6%
- By 31 December 2026
- Traded
- $666K
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2027, scheduled close
Since 6 Oct 2025 the chance of a second Hyperliquid airdrop by 31 December 2026 has fallen from 89% to 6%.
Chance over time
- By 31 December 2026
- By 30 June 2027
- By 31 December 2027
Polymarket lists 3 open deadlines on a second Hyperliquid airdrop, and 3 have already settled.
- By 31 December 20266%$294K traded
- By 30 June 202725%$3K traded
- By 31 December 202739%$6.8K traded
Settled results (3)
- By 30 June 2025No$9.9K traded
- By 30 September 2025No$10.6K traded
- By 31 December 2025No$341K traded
Each deadline settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. Hyperliquid performing a second airdrop (a free handout of its token to users) by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline.
- What does not. Locked or non-swappable tokens do not count, and neither do airdrops of NFTs.
- The source. On-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, or a consensus of credible reporting.
A second Hyperliquid airdrop would be a test of how much traders still love crypto rewards.
Hyperliquid is a crypto exchange that runs on its own blockchain, and its first airdrop made it one of the best-known names in the market.
A second handout would put free tokens in many traders' hands, which can add trading in crypto, so these deadlines are also a read on market mood.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on a second Hyperliquid airdrop.
What chance does Polymarket give a second Hyperliquid airdrop by 31 December 2026?
6%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on a second Hyperliquid airdrop settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2027. Hyperliquid performing a second airdrop (a free handout of its token to users) by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on a second Hyperliquid airdrop has the most money on it?
By 31 December 2026 is the busiest, with $294K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on a second Hyperliquid airdrop mean for Bitcoin?
Hyperliquid is a crypto exchange that runs on its own blockchain, and its first airdrop made it one of the best-known names in the market.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.