Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give Consensys closing its first trading day above a $1B market cap a 4.8% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET
- Chance now
- 4.8%
- Above $1B
- Traded
- $337K
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 6 Nov 2025 the chance of Consensys closing its first trading day above a $1B market cap has fallen from 94% to 4.8%.
Chance over time
- Above $1B
- Above $2B
- Above $3B
Polymarket lists 3 open levels on Consensys's market cap on its first day of trading.
- Above $1B4.8%$259K traded
- Above $2B2.7%$43.3K traded
- Above $3B3.9%$35.1K traded
Each level settles Yes or No on its own, by the rules below.
- What counts. The official closing market cap of Consensys on its first trading day being above the level in the market. Market cap is the number of shares times the closing share price.
- If there is no IPO. If Consensys has not gone public by 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026, every level settles No, so these chances include the chance of no IPO at all.
- The source. The official listing page of the exchange where it trades.
A Consensys listing would put the company behind MetaMask in front of stock investors, not just crypto traders.
Consensys builds MetaMask, a wallet many people use to reach Ethereum apps, so what it is worth on day one shows how investors value that corner of crypto.
Public listings tend to come when crypto prices are strong, so these chances also read as a measure of the market's mood.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on Consensys's market cap on its first day of trading.
What chance does Polymarket give Consensys closing its first trading day above a $1B market cap?
4.8%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on Consensys's market cap on its first day of trading settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. The official closing market cap of Consensys on its first trading day being above the level in the market. Market cap is the number of shares times the closing share price.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on Consensys's market cap on its first day of trading has the most money on it?
Above $1B is the busiest, with $259K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on Consensys's market cap on its first day of trading mean for Bitcoin?
Consensys builds MetaMask, a wallet many people use to reach Ethereum apps, so what it is worth on day one shows how investors value that corner of crypto.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.