Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket see August as the most likely month for Bitcoin's best performance in 2026, at 92%.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET
- Likeliest
- 92%
- August
- Traded
- $882K
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 30 Jan 2026 the chance of August in Polymarket's market on Bitcoin's best month of 2026 has risen from 15% to 92%.
Chance over time
- August
- December
- November
Polymarket lists 12 possible outcomes for Bitcoin's best month of 2026, and exactly one will settle Yes.
- August92%$36.6K traded
- November2.5%$43K traded
- December6.3%$42.1K traded
Settled results (9)
- JanuaryNo$503K traded
- FebruaryNo$26.9K traded
- MarchNo$56.2K traded
- AprilNo$49.3K traded
- MayNo$20.4K traded
- JuneNo$26.9K traded
- JulyNo$9.6K traded
- SeptemberNo$27.5K traded
- OctoberNo$40.7K traded
Exactly one outcome settles Yes, and the rules below say how Polymarket picks it.
- What counts. The calendar month of 2026 in which Bitcoin's percentage change is the highest, taken from the Change value of each monthly candle on a large exchange's BTC/USDT chart.
- A tie. If two months tie for the highest change, the earlier month wins.
- Early results. A month settles No as soon as it can no longer have the highest change, so the table narrows as the year goes on.
This market is a bet on which month Bitcoin makes its biggest gain in 2026.
Bitcoin's monthly moves swing widely, so the best month can sit well above the other eleven.
Because months settle No as soon as they cannot win, the last open months show what traders expect from the rest of the year.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on Bitcoin's best month of 2026.
What is the most likely month for Bitcoin's best performance in 2026, according to Polymarket?
August, at 92%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on Bitcoin's best month of 2026 settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. The calendar month of 2026 in which Bitcoin's percentage change is the highest, taken from the Change value of each monthly candle on a large exchange's BTC/USDT chart.
Which outcome of the Polymarket market on Bitcoin's best month of 2026 has the most money on it?
November is the busiest, with $43K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on Bitcoin's best month of 2026 mean for Bitcoin?
Bitcoin's monthly moves swing widely, so the best month can sit well above the other eleven.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.