Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give the altcoin market cap dipping to $150 billion before the end of 2026 an 11% chance.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:18 PM ET
- Chance now
- 11%
- Altcoin market cap $150B
- Traded
- $289K
- US dollars, on this market
- Closes
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 31 Dec 2025 the chance of the altcoin market cap dipping to $150 billion before the end of 2026 has fallen from 74% to 11%.
Chance over time
- Chance of Yes
Polymarket trades one Yes-or-No market on the altcoin market cap falling to $150 billion, so its two prices add up to about 100%.
- Yes11%$289K traded
- No90%
Polymarket settles this market by the rules below, which say exactly what counts as Yes.
- What counts. Any one-minute candle on a public altcoin market cap chart (the total value of crypto outside the biggest coins) having a lowest price at or below $150 billion between 3 November 2025 and 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
- The source. That one chart only. Prices from other charts, indices or exchanges do not count.
When altcoins crash, Bitcoin is rarely untouched, so this market reads the downside of the whole crypto market.
Altcoins are every coin other than Bitcoin, and in a sell-off they have usually fallen harder than Bitcoin does.
A dip to this level would mean a deep drop across crypto, so the chance is worth reading beside Bitcoin's own dip odds.
Bitcoin on PolymarketTraders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 5.5% chance of reaching $100,000 before the end of 2026.Read on 11 Nov 2026. See every Bitcoin price target and its chart.In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks a simpler question than this market, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's odds on the altcoin market cap falling to $150 billion.
What chance does Polymarket give the altcoin market cap dipping to $150 billion before the end of 2026?
11%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket market on the altcoin market cap falling to $150 billion settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. Any one-minute candle on a public altcoin market cap chart (the total value of crypto outside the biggest coins) having a lowest price at or below $150 billion between 3 November 2025 and 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026.
What does Polymarket's market on the altcoin market cap falling to $150 billion mean for Bitcoin?
Altcoins are every coin other than Bitcoin, and in a sell-off they have usually fallen harder than Bitcoin does.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket, from the Fed to crypto companies, each tied back to Bitcoin.
See every live crypto market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two big venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.