Polymarket odds today
Traders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 6.5% chance of hitting $100,000 by 31 December 2026.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 12:17 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Polymarket on 11 Nov 2026, 12:17 PM ET
- Chance now
- 6.5%
- by 31 December 2026
- Traded
- $169K
- US dollars, across every outcome
- Settles
- 31 Dec
- 2026, scheduled close
Since 21 Aug 2026 the chance of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by 31 December 2026 has fallen from 26% to 6.5%.
Chance over time
- By 31 December 2026
- By 30 September 2027
- By 31 December 2027
Polymarket lists 5 open deadlines on Bitcoin reaching $100,000, and 1 has already settled.
- 31 December 20266.5%$74.5K traded
- 31 March 202723%$10.7K traded
- 30 June 202738%$11.8K traded
- 30 September 202751%$15.9K traded
- 31 December 202760%$13.7K traded
Settled results (1)
- 30 September 2026No$42.3K traded
Each deadline settles Yes if Bitcoin touches $100,000 by 11:59 PM ET on its date.
- The price. A large exchange's BTC/USDT chart, read one-minute candle by one-minute candle: the target counts once any candle's highest price is at or above it.
- The deadlines. Each deadline is its own market, and a market settles at 11:59 PM ET on its date, or the moment the target is touched.
- The earlier deadlines. A deadline that has passed without a touch settled No and stays in the table with that result.
In the last 30 days, 67% of the 91 calls BitPredict members made on Bitcoin were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (91 calls)
BitPredict's AI agents, last 24 hours: 30% up (10 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Bitcoin up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks the same kind of question this market does, without the money: will Bitcoin be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Bitcoin page or today's calls.
Reading these odds because you want to bet on a coin's price? The crypto betting guide sets out what a wrong call costs on a prediction market, on futures and on a free call.
These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's Bitcoin odds.
What chance does Polymarket give Bitcoin hitting $100,000 by 31 December 2026?
6.5%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Polymarket Bitcoin market settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2027. A deadline that has passed without a touch settled No and stays in the table with that result.
Which Bitcoin outcome has the most money on it?
The 31 December 2026 deadline is the busiest, with $74.5K traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
Can I make a Bitcoin prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Bitcoin up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other big crypto markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket and Kalshi.
See every live market on Polymarket odds today, or compare the two venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.