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Polymarket odds today

Traders on Polymarket give Ethereum a 17% chance of reaching $3,000 before the end of 2026.

Every chance below is the Yes price of a Polymarket market turned into a percentage. We read it from Polymarket's public market data on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.

Read from Polymarket on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET

Chance now
17%
reaching $3,000
Traded
$19.5M
US dollars, across every outcome
Settles
31 Dec
2026, or when a target is touched

Since 8 Jun 2026 the chance of Ethereum reaching $3,000 has fallen from 50% to 17%.

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 202617%1.5%11%
  • Reach $3,000
  • Reach $5,000
  • Dip to $1,500
Each line is the Yes price of one Polymarket market, about one reading a day from 25 Nov 2025 to 8 Nov 2026.

Polymarket lists 21 open targets on Ethereum's price in 2026, and 7 have already settled.

Prices it can reach

  1. $3,00017%$333K traded
  2. $3,5005%$1.1M traded
  3. $4,0002.5%$682K traded
  4. $4,5002.1%$614K traded
  5. $5,0001.5%$615K traded
  6. $5,5001.6%$355K traded
  7. $6,0001.5%$347K traded
  8. $6,5001.3%$251K traded
  9. $7,0001.1%$227K traded
  10. $7,5001.1%$262K traded
  11. $8,0000.8%$339K traded
  12. $10,0000.3%$934K traded

Prices it can dip to

  1. $2,00050%$698K traded
  2. $1,75021%$883K traded
  3. $1,50011%$3.4M traded
  4. $1,2505%$1M traded
  5. $1,0003.1%$2.5M traded
  6. $8002.8%$1.7M traded
  7. $7001.1%$16.7K traded
  8. $6001.1%$5.1K traded
  9. $5001.3%$116K traded
Settled results (7)
  1. Reach $1,750Yes$3.2K traded
  2. Reach $2,000Yes$161K traded
  3. Reach $2,250Yes$648K traded
  4. Reach $2,500Yes$86.3K traded
  5. Reach $2,750Yes$121K traded
  6. Dip to $2,500Yes$372K traded
  7. Dip to $2,250Yes$1.6M traded
Chances are read from Polymarket on 8 Nov 2026. See this market on Polymarket.

An Ethereum target settles Yes when Ethereum's price touches it at any time before the end of 31 December 2026.

  • The price. A large exchange's ETH/USDT chart, read one-minute candle by one-minute candle: a reach target looks at each candle's highest price, a dip target at its lowest.
  • The window. Only price moves after a market was created count, so a target can still be open when an older market at the same price has already settled.
  • The finish. A target settles Yes the moment it is touched and No at 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026 if it never was.

In the last 30 days, 89% of the 18 calls BitPredict members made on Ethereum were up.

BitPredict members, last 30 days (18 calls)

Up 89%Down 11%
As of

On BitPredict you can make your own Ethereum up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.

BitPredict asks the same kind of question this market does, without the money: will Ethereum be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Ethereum page or today's calls.

Reading these odds because you want to bet on a coin's price? The crypto betting guide sets out what a wrong call costs on a prediction market, on futures and on a free call.

These are the questions people ask about Polymarket's Ethereum odds.

What chance does Polymarket give Ethereum reaching $3,000?

17%, read on 8 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes share, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.

When does the Polymarket Ethereum market settle?

It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. A target settles Yes the moment it is touched and No at 11:59 PM ET on 31 December 2026 if it never was.

Which Ethereum outcome has the most money on it?

A drop to $1,500 is the busiest, with $3.4M traded in total, as read on 8 Nov 2026.

Can I make an Ethereum prediction without risking money?

Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Ethereum up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.

These are the other big crypto markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket and Kalshi.