Kalshi odds today
Traders on Kalshi give Ethereum a 5.5% chance of reaching $4,000 before the end of 2026.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Kalshi market turned into a percentage. We read it from Kalshi's public market data on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Kalshi on 8 Nov 2026, 6:06 AM ET
- Chance now
- 5.5%
- reaching $4,000
- Traded
- 3M
- contracts, each paying $1 if it wins
- Settles
- 31 Dec
- 2026, or when a target is touched
Since 2 Jan 2026 the chance of Ethereum reaching $4,000 has fallen from 70% to 5.5%.
Chance over time
- Reach $4,000
- Reach $3,500
- Reach $6,000
Kalshi lists 8 open targets on how high Ethereum gets in 2026.
Prices it can reach
- Above $3,5008.5%636K contracts traded
- Above $3,7506.5%262K contracts traded
- Above $4,0005.5%372K contracts traded
- Above $4,2503.5%192K contracts traded
- Above $4,5003%304K contracts traded
- Above $4,7502.5%282K contracts traded
- Above $5,0002.5%405K contracts traded
- Above $6,0001.5%528K contracts traded
An Ethereum target settles Yes when Ethereum's price touches it at any time before the end of 31 December 2026.
- The price. Kalshi settles on the CF Benchmarks real-time Ethereum index, as the market rules define it.
- The targets. A target settles Yes once the index reaches it at any point before the deadline, and the market closes early the moment that happens.
- The finish. A target the index never reaches settles No at the deadline, 12:00 AM ET on 1 January 2027.
In the last 30 days, 89% of the 18 calls BitPredict members made on Ethereum were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (18 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Ethereum up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks the same kind of question this market does, without the money: will Ethereum be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Ethereum page or today's calls.
Reading these odds because you want to bet on a coin's price? The crypto betting guide sets out what a wrong call costs on a prediction market, on futures and on a free call.
These are the questions people ask about Kalshi's Ethereum odds.
What chance does Kalshi give Ethereum reaching $4,000?
5.5%, read on 8 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes contract, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Kalshi Ethereum market settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. A target the index never reaches settles No at the deadline, 12:00 AM ET on 1 January 2027.
Which Ethereum outcome has the most money on it?
A rise to $3,500 is the busiest, with 636K contracts traded in total, as read on 8 Nov 2026.
Can I make an Ethereum prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Ethereum up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other big crypto markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket and Kalshi.
See every live market on Kalshi odds today, or compare the two venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.