Kalshi odds today
Traders on Kalshi give Ethereum a 14% chance of dropping to $1,500 before the end of 2026.
Every chance below is the Yes price of a Kalshi market turned into a percentage. We read it from Kalshi's public market data on 11 Nov 2026, 1:02 PM ET and read it again about every 10 minutes.
Read from Kalshi on 11 Nov 2026, 1:02 PM ET
- Chance now
- 14%
- dropping to $1,500
- Traded
- 1.4M
- contracts, each paying $1 if it wins
- Settles
- 31 Dec
- 2026, or when a target is touched
Since 2 Jan 2026 the chance of Ethereum dropping to $1,500 has fallen from 26% to 14%.
Chance over time
- Dip to $1,500
- Dip to $1,250
- Dip to $1,000
Kalshi lists 4 open targets on how low Ethereum gets in 2026.
Prices it can dip to
- $1,50014%570K contracts traded
- $1,2508.5%496K contracts traded
- $1,0004.5%228K contracts traded
- $7502.5%83.8K contracts traded
An Ethereum target settles Yes when Ethereum's price touches it at any time before the end of 31 December 2026.
- The price. Kalshi settles on the CF Benchmarks real-time Ethereum index, as the market rules define it.
- The targets. A target settles Yes once the index goes below it at any point before 12:00 AM ET on 1 January 2027, and the market closes early the moment that happens.
- The finish. A target the index never falls below settles No at 12:00 AM ET on 1 January 2027, which is the end of 31 December 2026.
In the last 30 days, 86% of the 14 calls BitPredict members made on Ethereum were up.
BitPredict members, last 30 days (14 calls)
On BitPredict you can make your own Ethereum up-or-down call for free, with nothing at stake.
BitPredict asks the same kind of question this market does, without the money: will Ethereum be higher or lower in 24 hours? You make the call for free, it is timestamped, and you are scored on accuracy. Start with the Ethereum page or today's calls.
Reading these odds because you want to bet on a coin's price? The crypto betting guide sets out what a wrong call costs on a prediction market, on futures and on a free call.
These are the questions people ask about Kalshi's Ethereum odds.
What chance does Kalshi give Ethereum dropping to $1,500?
14%, read on 11 Nov 2026. That is the price of a Yes contract, in cents, turned into a percentage, and it moves with every trade.
When does the Kalshi Ethereum market settle?
It is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. A target the index never falls below settles No at 12:00 AM ET on 1 January 2027, which is the end of 31 December 2026.
Which Ethereum outcome has the most money on it?
A drop to $1,500 is the busiest, with 570K contracts traded in total, as read on 11 Nov 2026.
Can I make an Ethereum prediction without risking money?
Yes. BitPredict is free to play: you call Ethereum up or down over the next 24 hours, get scored on accuracy, and build a public track record. Nothing is deposited and nothing is at stake.
These are the other big crypto markets BitPredict tracks on Polymarket and Kalshi.
See every live market on Kalshi odds today, or compare the two venues in Kalshi vs Polymarket.